Hello Chris.

I'm honored that you're still following from my Camino days. If you've watched those videos, I think you're know I try to follow Stoic ideas. I just concern myself with what I can do and try not to get too down about where the World is headed.

When I first started to be involved with XR, people would shout at us that climate change wasn't real. Now they shout that it's too late. Either way, it gives people an excuse not to do anything about.

These last two videos have had more interest than many of my recent ones and I think I'm getting views for them at a higher rate than even the Camino ones. So far I've had 259 new subscribers between the two of them. It took my two years to get 1,000 subscribers with the Camino videos, so for a small channel like mine (that prides itself on making videos that most people don't want to watch) they're doing quite well.

I do have some sympathy for the World's governments. How can the UK insulate all its houses with so few builders? How can India adapt? What can Joe Bidden do? However, there is lots more they can easily do and its frustrating that they don't do it.

@anthonymorris5084

There will never be a water shortage on this planet. We have desalination technology. Water is an energy issue made worse by climate policies.

If you're as old as you say, then you must be aware of the numerous crises that never materialized. In the 1950's Americans were building more backyard bomb shelters than backyard pools.

In 1973 we lived through the energy "crisis" that never materialized.

Then we were told of the impending ice age.

Then we were told by Nobel prize winning physicist Paul Ehrlich that we were all going to starve to death by the 1980's. Ehrlich is still making failed predictions that nobody calls him out on.

Lastly there was Y2K, where planes were going to fall out of the sky and nuclear missiles would be accidentally launched.

All of these began with "scientists say......." There is zero evidence of a climate "crisis".

@freeheeler09

2y↑3

I was evacuated from my home for the last week. My home was ok. 50 families had their homes burn down and are now homeless.

The mountains I live in catches the rain that feeds the farmlands that grow most of America’s fruits, nuts and veggies.

And Russia’s genocide in the Ukraine is disrupting grains, cooking oils and gas supplies throughout the world.

There are 8 billion people in the world, and production and supply lines are stretched to the breaking point.

The famines will start soon.

@old_toucs6283

@@Mike80528 I process complicated data for a living.
If you actually check the forcing for a doubling in CO2 and put that into the actual equation for Earth's temperature it is 0.7C. Note that some of the constants in that are themselves derived from models that make a range of assumptions. We have not had a doubling of CO2 yet so the actual CO2 rise is 0.5C. All of the rest is covered by feedbacks that are lumped in with sensitivity factors. The shading you mentioned is one of these feedbacks.

There is no evidence at all that temperatures are rocketing up or are the worst ever or any other similar claim. This is a blatant lie and anyone with basic math skills can prove this by graphing the proxies up and seeing for themselves how much variation they have (proxies are downloadable from NOAA PAGES12K metadata spreadsheet). The smooth past is created by averaging these sources out without explaining how much the actual proxies vary and what their actual accuracy is. The proxies have poor accuracy, poor geographic coverage and the average gap between temperatures is 150 years. There is simply no way we can make the "hottest ever" claim based on this data.

There is no evidence of a climate crisis, no "unusual" or "extreme" weather. We are actually having normal weather that is being dishonestly and irresponsibly reported.

Overall the problem is small but is being wildly exaggerated by people with social and political agendas.

@CountEverything

12w↑1

Hello ferreira. I'm honoured to have a viewer in Brazil.

I'm interested to hear how climate change is affecting an important city. I've seen that Brazil has a new government that is taking the environment more seriously. I wonder if it will be able to take more steps if impacts are becoming more obvious to the public.

South America seems to be experiencing a mega drought at the moment. In 2022 Monterey in Mexico nearly ran out of water, last year Montevideo in Uruguay near ran out. I see that now the Panama Canal has had to halve the number of ships that can use it due to lack of water.

It's difficult to forecast long term rain fall because it depends on complex air and ocean currents. But if South America is destined to received significantly less rain in the future, it might be one of the first parts of the world where the populations of whole cities need to move.

Climate science is so new and so complex, the only thing we can say with any certainty is that we are in danger and if we carry on as we are, it is only a matter of time until we encounter a catastrophe.

All comments from YouTube:

@CountEverything

1y↑18

If you've enjoyed any of the videos on the channel and want to support me, then you're welcome to buy me a slice of (virtual) pizza via the buymeacofffe wesbsite - https://www.buymeacoffee.com/counteverything

There are no benefits to you, apart from receiving my thanks. I don't need the money, but I do sometimes need the motivation.

@charlesvt2010

44w↑1

Did enjoy your video , sadly you said 20 yrs. I'd say 5 , maybe sooner

@CountEverything

43w↑1

@@charlesvt2010 Maybe. I'm planning to do a video about some of the predictions that forecast a collapse sooner than the scientists. It will probably be posted early August.

@anthonypettid3769

2y↑57

I cried myself to sleep so many times out of the fear of societal collapse and now I’m coming to terms with it, if it happens, let it, if not, wonderful, i won’t be living in fear anymore. I’m praying for the best but expecting the worst.
I won’t be bringing children in this world as sad as that is to say. I couldn’t bare to see them suffer knowing what lies ahead.
Not to ring any alarms, I’m not suicidal but once collapse happens, I’ll be leaving this world with it.

@CountEverything

2y↑9

In the next video, I'm going to try and show there is some thing we can all do. Even if its not enough to save the human world. just by doing something can help people to find peace.

@cmcordoYT

2y↑7

I see what you mean. There are a few solutions that a lot of people don't know about and by the time they do, it will be too late. One is called the Albedo Effect to where we can replace the problem with the ocean reflecting to the sky with everyone painting all buildings and homes with white colors to reflect the heat. Also, we have to be careful to not jump into trying to get rid of all emissions and pollution all at once. Because we have the situation right now where emissions and pollution do help block a lot of the sun's rays. If we get rid of it too fast or don't watch it, we could end up making it hotter on earth and killing all species a lot faster. We are in the middle of abrupt climate change, and we are watching it before our eyes. But I agree that we should not panic and let it make us lose sleep at this time.

I have had an organ transplant and are dependent on multiple medications. Things are smooth right now when it comes to getting my medications on time, but once civilization starts to break down to where I can't get my medications, I'll die soon after. I have three adult children in their 30's and I am sad that they will be going through all of this since they are still very young and healthy right now. Fortunately, none of them are married or planning on having any children. This would be the worst time to have children.

@pce12345

1y↑6

Just have as much fun and quality time as you can

@dariansheets

1y↑5

The people that survive will be those that form groups unified by one thing, whether culture, religion, or just the desire to survive, and move into colder more stable environments.

Most people will die, as in multiple billions, from war, starvation, dehydration, and cannibalization. City centers will become centers of war and cannibalism.

The strong willed and those with strong bodies will survive.

What I’m saying is the best way to go into this is by preparing your body and mind. It may seem cartoonish to suggest people will be forming tribes to keep themselves safe in the future, tribes with leadership and organized systems, but it is the unfortunate reality.

@christianzilla

1y↑5

Aw, c'mon. It'll be an adventure! 😊
In the same sense that The Road was an adventure. 😬💀

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@sentientflower7891

2y↑43

Anyone who imagines that civilization exist beyond 2040 is a starry eyed optimist.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

But what day and time of day do you think it will end?

@sentientflower7891

2y↑15

@@CountEverything civilization doesn't end on a particular day, the end of civilization arrives at various times in various places. Sri Lanka evidently has fallen off the cliff, Haiti did so decades ago and the Southwest USA is dying right now. At what point does the entire global system seize up and cease functioning? That event cannot be predicted and even after it happens people might still deny that it happened or imagine it could start up again, as those Cargo Cult religions formed in the Pacific after World War II.

@maddogwillie1019

2y↑9

No shit…I love the way politicians stand before the microphone and say “we need to address climate change NOW”…well NOW has come and gone…the best you can do is like with a dying patient…do what you can to make your family, especially the young one as comfortable as possible.

@kevincrady2831

2y↑13

@@sentientflower7891 Historians still debate about when Rome "actually" fell, so yeah. Los Angeles already has large camps of people living in "post-apocalyptic" conditions. The collapse is already here, it's just unevenly distributed.

@TheCosmosagan

@@CountEverything At 1:17, with a long shear light and a series of low concussions

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@kimweaver1252

2y↑22

It IS collapsing. The rate of collapse is arguable, but not the fact that it is occurring.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Yes.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑21

If you wonder why these kind of videos and predictions in general about upcoming disaster never receive the widespread attention they deserve, I have figured out a simple rule that I guess described it pretty well:
If humans hear about a disaster that will happen further away than some days to months, they think there is still enough time and don’t take it too seriously.
If humans hear about an imminent disaster, they only care about themselves and people close to them and their survival and don’t inform anyone else than those people close to them.
That is just my humble perception.

@CountEverything

2y↑5

For this channel, the video is getting a good number of views, but I agree in general that the climate and ecological emergencies don't the coverage they deserve. I wonder if its because the scientists don't explain things in a way that people can understand what the numbers mean in practice. I used Dr. Peter Carter's research because he does explain things in a practical way.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑4

@@CountEverything I think it’s mostly because of vested views interests from downplaying or ignoring the problem.

@erikolsen5802

2y↑1

I think youre right. Good point

@brooksanderson2599

2y↑22

Prof. Guy McPherson presents peer reviewed scientific articles that are MUCH more pessimistic than your sources. I agree with his sources. His conclusion is that it is far too late to slow, let alone stop or reverse, abrupt, lethal, climate change. old geologist

@CountEverything

2y↑8

Every one keeps mentioning Guy McPherson. I need to watch his videos, but I'm concerned I might start copying him rather than come up with my own ideas.

@claudelebel49

49w

@@CountEverything I listened to a lot of guy McPherson 10 years ago. He makes a lot of good points and was quite extreme in predictions although he is right that things could get really bad very quickly.

@CountEverything

48w↑1

@@claudelebel49 I'm planning to do a video on Guy McPherson's ideas. It will probably be out towards the end of June.

@roberthornack1692

42w↑1

All Guy does is present the peer reviewed literature. If you can't deal with it, don't blame the messenger.

@chesterfinecat7588

33w

@@CountEverything Al Bartlett explained it long before Guy. People don't grasp exponential growth.

@johnpearson3761

2y↑61

Count, you are not being pessimistic. You are describing the horrific reality that our over-consumption and over-population will bring in coming decades, I have degrees in physics and engineering, and have been at first interested, then concerned, and now fearful of our civilisation's future train-wreck. If most people were motivated to do something about these problems and we had governments who were able to persuade us to commit to the needed changes to our mode of civilization, we might stand a chance. The reality is that self-interest, greed and ignorance are rampant. The necessary actions to escape the trap we are in will not be taken, and consequently human civilisation will be destroyed. The few survivors will never be able to rebuild civilisation because the needed environment and resources will no longer be available to us. Human civilisation is doomed.

@CountEverything

2y↑10

I'll try to be more positive in the next video, but things are quite serious.

@kaliheera5441

2y↑14

And this is why I’m happy to have the chance to see the extinction of the human animal. I feel sorry for all others though.

@stanleymizerski1065

2y↑7

....spot on....human hubris has no limits...we smugly call ourselves "intelligent"...it follows that this "intelligence" is an evolutionary dead end....😍

@mrrecluse7002

2y↑1

Yes, we're greedy enough to destroy our own habitat, and will continue the illusion that we are somehow special, and exempt from the consequences, of this sixth mass extinction, largely by virtue of the hypnotic affect our technology has upon us.

@mrrecluse7002

@@stanleymizerski1065 Yeah...this kind of intelligence is apparently destined for a "dead end." We don't deserve this planet, and it doesn't deserve us.

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@alexspringett

2y↑74

Good work putting this together, very interesting and tough to do at the same time im sure. For me what i find really troubling is the total realisation that the infinite growth economic paradigm we have been living under all this time is a complete lie given a finite planet, it really has just been man versus the natural world all this time and every day we wake up and carry on with the lie. Once again great work, really appreciate the effort : )

@CountEverything

2y↑15

Thanks Alex.

No news agency seems to have reported that the UN is calling for an end of constant growth. I wonder if they haven't noticed or don't feel able to report it.

It's easy to blame the politicians, but how many people would be happy to give up wanting to have more money and buy more stuff? If we are to have a survivable future, the whole of society needs to change.

@alexspringett

@@CountEverything exactly - no one is willing to sacrifice their current standard of living, far more appealing to buy into the high tech solar powered space travel fantasy than get real.

@Magik1369

@@CountEverything So many humans have lost their way and have descended into narcissism and heartlessness that it seems extremely unlikely humanity will survive much past 2030. People would have to give up their fear, shame, and selfishness to survive climate change, and I just don't see it happening. The USA Is the biggest offender and basically caused climate change with its greed and unbridled capitalism and keep up with the Jones mentality, that we are all programmed with from birth. The US military is the biggest emitter on Earth and they have absolutely no clue and no plan to change...which is absolutely pathetic and evil.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑11

Yes. This simple truth was scientifically proven by The Club of Rome in 1972, in their Limits to Growth Report. Clearly, not enough people listened.

@craigcarmichael5748

2y↑4

@@SchgurmTewehr "Still a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest" - Paul Simon.
And many argue against the report not even on any merit, but because it was put out by something called "The Club of Rome", which has an elitist sound to it.

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@helenroberts7490

2y↑51

Hey there Count!! I live in Australia and wildfire and flooding have definitely increased in the last few years . The climate has gradually changed with weather systems coming from different directions than normal and the weather systems are more severe when they arrive. It is a bleak future. Thank you for your videos and the amount of research you have done to create them

@CountEverything

2y↑9

Thanks Helen.

The future is bleak. Few people will realise how bad things are and most won't find out until its too late.

It's interesting to know where your from. At one time the country was shown for each view, but its changed now.

@janklaas6885

2y↑11

@@CountEverything
Its already tooo late.
GREAT VIDEO 👍
Collapse wil happen long before 2053.

@anglosaxonmike8325

Coal, gas and oil are all entirely 'plant-based' materials simply and purely formed from wild flowers and grains, sea weed, grasses, root vegetables and trees, all organically grown and untouched by pesticides or industrial fertilisers.
These materials are carefully aged and gently pressed by Mother Earth herself over long periods of time to concentrate the essence of their life enhancing energy. When consumed they produce an effervescence, whose colourless, odourless and nature-based qualities when mixed into our planet's atmosphere creates needed nourishment, resilience against harm and sustainability for the healthy community of plant-life we all depend upon and value.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑3

Since you live in Australia, I have to ask you if you have read „Why the collapse of an Atlantic ocean current could mean La Niña becomes the norm“.

@helenroberts7490

2y↑2

@@SchgurmTewehr Hi there, Yes I have read the Guardian article.

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@redrockcrf4663

2y↑16

So based over here in NZ, i'm trying to get people to see what is happening now. A lot of intense rainfall, drought, and much stronger wind events (which I think is what will really harm the Pacific). Yes we can rebuild after each event. But as they become bigger and more frequent, we spend more and more of GDP on "standing" still, which gives us even fewer resources to devote to mitigating and adapting. At least here, I feel we can see this process in action. That more frequent intense events are sapping our resources, and as people feel less wealthy, they are even less likely to want resources to go to the climate process so much as helping them coping with their situation.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

It's interesting that climate change is affecting NZ so clearly. Some people think NZ will be one of the countries that might survive a climate collapse.

@redrockcrf4663

@@CountEverything We might go reasonably well, but it will require adaptation, and as your video pointed out, the government and society isn't exacly running apace towards a goal! As implied above, the concern is that even the moves to adapt will raise our emissions. If that happens writ large, then we are truly screwed. Making big changes quickly while still trying to do it sustainably is just incredibly difficult.

@rayn3038

Famine is coming and No One Sees it….but also weird Diseases in humans and animals….Locust will rise in enormous numbers….Domesticated Species will be ravaged by disease….Rivers either Flooding or Drying up…Volcanoes and Earthquakes…finally Scientists have admitted that climate change adds to Cataclysmic events seeming unrelated…the Chinese 5000 years ago recorded what to expect from Overpopulation and Interference with Nature.

@thedivinemissm7795

2y↑43

A cogent presentation...not pessimistic, but probably somewhat optimistic given the way people will continue to treat each other throughout the unfolding disasters ahead...
'Greed is its own worst enemy'

I'm editing this space to include that it is everyone's responsibility to recognize, and conserve resources right now...i'm telling you that you can live on 4 or 5L of water per person daily...for enough that you truly need to exist on...
I have done so these past 13 1/2 years now and depend on meager solar for my battery recharge...my only major vulnerability is needing propane to heat at night here in the desert over winter...i am mobile enough to move around in my RV to follow temperatures seasonally, but choose to drive as little as possible...i store enough food to overcome shortages locally, so maybe i'm paying it forward a bit overall...it would be encouraging if more people embraced a survivability mindset rather than merely to "wait and see"...you see, by the time it is upon you, you will only actually be able to perish and beg for the end to come quickly.
Good luck to you!

@CountEverything

2y↑6

Thanks W.

Greed and the explosion of consumerism has certainly put great demands on the environment.

@mtn1793

Optimistic in the very fact that it’s not greedy, lying denial. But sad, so sad.

@MegaSquiff

2y↑8

You spell it all out better than a scientist, and I’ve been watching and listening to quite a few. A credit to you, and a big thanks for your efforts.

@CountEverything

Thanks Mega.

Share it with your friends, the more people who see it the more will realise how bad things are.

@chrisrichards3076

2y↑26

Hi Count, I first started watching your videos when preparing to walk the Camino (St Jean to Santiago) as you provided some really interesting comment. I'm now very pessimistic about our future. My best hope was that the US would lead the world in fighting climate change, but Biden is struggling to do anything. I'm really staggered at the naivety of the general public, and the almost total lack of interest in what will undoubtedly hit everyone in the coming years. It's so sad that your superb presentation has had 562 views when 'The Skilled Man Brilliantly Fixing A Car Radiator' has had 913,000 views since late June! Very few people take the trouble to look at climate change videos. Looking forward to you next video. Many thanks, Chris

@CountEverything

2y↑4

@maddogwillie1019

Chris if you waiting for the US to address climate change you’re waiting your time…the US has a capitalist financial system that is based on fossil fuel…the moon would smash into the earth long before capitalist for give up their profits

@RussCR5187

2y↑4

“Hope is definitely not the same thing as optimism. It is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense, regardless of how it turns out. It is the ability to work for something because it is good, not because it stands a chance to succeed.” --Vaclav Havel, author, former dissident, and first president of the Czech Republic.

@cedarmountain1525

2y↑2

@@RussCR5187 This is brilliant. It pretty much sums up what I feel. We "work for something because it is good, not because it stands a chance to succeed." That alone makes a difference somewhere in the cosmos, even if it doesn't solve the immediate problem at the 3D level. Somewhere, at some time in the present and/or the future, it makes a difference. Even if we don't live to see it. This is all so much bigger than our individual lives, even though it is an individual life that is needed to "make it good." Paradox at its supreme best. Thanks so much for that quote.

@cedarmountain1525

2y↑2

@@RussCR5187 And this is how we sleep at night...

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@bgiv2010

2y↑41

About 4.5 minutes in and you are exactly right! Climate change is a problem but it is built on a fragile market with just-in-time delivery and other wasteful practices. This is related to the idea that money that isn't working is wasted and is, in the end, built on the failure of capitalism. As you explained, capitalists prefer debt to savings and dynamism to stability. They prefer growth to life.

@CountEverything

2y↑4

Thanks BurnestThe4th. And thanks for all you other comments as well.

I think capitalism can be made to work sustainably, but it relies of governments to regulate it and produce a frame work where sustainable businesses and rewarded and destructive ones go into decline.

It all relies on people realising how serious the situation is and giving governments a mandate to act.

@bgiv2010

2y↑5

@@CountEverything they will just complain. They'll say "that's not natural." "That's not the free market." "What truly matters is productivity, scale, control, and leverage." How do we get capitalists to put profit second? How do we get people to look forward to life beyond fossil fuels?

@Rnankn

2y↑1

They will literally sacrifice us all, and everything that matters, for their freedom to pursue wealth. By the time they realize dollars have no value without an economy in which to make claims on future growth, it will be too late to do anything. We are literally giving up our lives, and the achievements of our ancestors, and potential of the future, so 10% of the American/European population can be wealthy for a few more decades. And we can’t stop them by force because they are armed, and protected by the largest military ever. It is perverse and criminal.

@rayn3038

45w

VERY CLEVER AND GREEDY MATERIALISTS RUN THE WORLD BUT HAVE NO WISDOM OR SELF CONTROL AND THE ECONOMIES ARE A RUNNAWAY TRAIN

@lindenjenkins4146

2y↑69

You are not being pessimistic. My understanding is that the IPCC report does not take into account tipping points. Things will be far worse than they predict as the tipping points have already been passed. Refer to Professor Guy McPherson

@CountEverything

2y↑13

Thanks Linden.

Another recommendation for Guy McPherson. His YouTube channel must be going gang busters.

I agree there's a risk things will be worse than predicted. Recent temperature records around the world have taken many scientists by surprise.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑10

My understanding is that IPCC scientists only started including tipping points into models and other research in the latest AR6 reports, which is almost as bad as your suggestion.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑5

Thanks for referring to someone. I’ll look into what this scientist has to say.

@russvanorder673

Humanity is experiencing a confluence of natural cycles . No matter what we do this is not going to end well for humanity .
We may have reached an end of our run for the current epoch.
There are too many examples around the world of lost civilizations that experienced their own TEOTWATKI .
This is just another turning .
May be Humanity's end .
Who knows ,but I bet there are manuscripts and other information in the Vatican's 2000 yr old library about all of this.

@kirstinstrand6292

2y↑4

Moreover, IPCC takes 5 years to cross the t's, etc to get the most recent report published!

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@supersasquatch

2y↑9

It didn't take 20 years for England to experience temperatures over 40 celcius, it only took 2 weeks!

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Yes. Climate change is always worse than you think.

Although the point I think the weather lady was trying to make was the high temperatures - 40 degrees C over a long period of time would mean we would run out of water, energy and food. I don't thin two days of 40 degrees C would cause that.

@edwardmiessner6502

And a field caught fire, among several places, and reached a street of terraced houses! I saw the video in the US. Shocking!

@johntaplin3126

32w

If the prognosis for climate change is so dire and it is caused by the damaging effects of humans, modern life etc and is unsustainable, the answer will inevitably be a dramatic reduction in world population, as I believe this video and others of its ilk are forecasting This can only occur by a number of actions: reduced birth rates, increased death rates e.g. war, pestilence, deliberate culling of those considered unproductive or undesirable, and so on. This will then leave only the strong, wealthy and superior humans, who will either enslave the remaining untermenschen or create cyborgs to do the dirty work. Wonder why nobody thought of this a a final solution before?

@karin4012

2y↑7

Hi Andrew, so many comments. You got the right theme here. Keep well ❤❤

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Hello Karin.

There are a lot of comments. I much preferred the times when each video I made received 7 likes and 4 comments, one of which was from you.

Thanks for continuing to follow the channel.

@tanyahempstead9119

2y↑15

Good presentation. England right now is experiencing the kind of temps you weren't expecting for several years. Meanwhile here, the Australian government is planning new coal and gas mines. No one hold their breath for any type of useful climate change policies.

@CountEverything

2y↑6

Thanks Tanya.

The climate emergency is always worse than you think. I think the weather lady meant in 20 years time we would regularly have 40 degrees C in the UK. This would mean we would run out of water and energy in the cities, as the UN is predicting.

The UK is also planning to open more coal mining.

No country anywhere in the world has done enough in the last 30 years and until things are much more serious, I don't think any of them will.

@russtaylor2122

2y↑6

No hope, thank you. Hope is the enemy of grief, which has five stages to it. Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression, Acceptance. The planet should be in hospice, but the people with big money invested who will be dead soon, want to carry on as usual. They are at stage one. Do yourselves a favour and think about this excellent presentation and move through the stages. Acceptance is a great place to be. Enjoy each day as it comes to you. Stop striving, be kind, smell the roses and quit your pension scheme.

@kirstinstrand6292

I have been moving through these 5 levels of grief the last 5 years. It's difficult...

@russtaylor2122

@@kirstinstrand6292 Nothing worth having comes easy. You'll get there. I hover between depression and acceptance with the occasional dip back to the 'if we just' of bargaining... Do a random act of kindness as often as you can, without any payback. Karma is instant...

@CountEverything

Although rationally I can see how bad things are, I'm not emotionally quite ready to accept it.

The last thing to die is hope.

@olga7200

I agree with you - acceptance of death is probably The most important thing on human life. Only when you can accept the fact of death you can start living. Most are in denial- oh, yeah, - in denial of almost everything, it sometimes looks that this is a planet of lies- all kind of lies: big, small, to oneself, to others. But I disagree with the notion that "the people with big money invested who will be dead soon, want to carry on as usual" - in my opinion people with little or no money do the same.

@jean6453

2y↑26

Very well done. You explain things quite well. Thank you.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Jean.

@ReganParentonyt

@russtaylor2122

2y↑11

Thank you Count, for a thoughtful and realistic exploration of the possible future.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Russ.

@juliebarks3195

2y↑8

The much-maligned Guy McPherson is spot on, give or take a few years.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Everyone keeps mentioning Guy McPherson. I ought to watch his videos, but I'm worried they might influence me too much and I much just end up copying his ideas.

@juliebarks3195

2y↑3

@@CountEverything
Dear Count. Guy tells it like it is. He is much like you. I don't think you could be influenced by him. You have a lot in common, that's why I like your channel. Give it a go.

@christinearmington

@@CountEverything Don’t worry. His perspective aligns in effect but is still different asked on loss of habitat.

@1stMemberEver

2y↑10

You may be too optimistic. Like pointed out by many scientists, IPCC don't consider positive feedbacks (tipping points if you will) like growing permafrost and arctic methane releases. So it can well be 3 C by 2040 or 2050.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Hello 1stMemberEver.

The IPCC reports are so long that its difficult for me to fully understand or criticise them. Even written as they are, they show things will be serious enough to endanger our civilisation.

I think 2040 to 2050 will be an interesting decade to live in, and not in a good way.

@tr7b410

The lack of any real effort proposing meaningful policies at the latest 2022 IPCC meeting in Bonn is a harbinger of how climatologists have given up, & now are just willing to become spectators in the context of the climate crisis becoming a disaster of biblical proportion,s.

@lorduprz6359

2y↑7

Excellent work! I can't wait for the next series. I hope this time you could add what if a nuclear scenario could turn out to be, what would happen to wild life and ecosystems, how the climate crisis could accelerate in a fewer years, and how pandemics and mass migrations play out due to climate crises.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Lord UPrz.

You're right to mention ecosystems. It's just as serious as climate change, but gets far less attention.

I'm not sure what role nuclear will be able to play. At the moment it seems to take decades to build a nuclear power station which will be too long if we are to reduce our carbon emissions in time. I think in the UK the amount of nuclear power is set to reduce as older power stations are retired.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑10

The MIT has predicted a collapse of society in 2040 based on a new assessment of the Club of Rome report Limits to growth from 1972. I wonder why you didn’t include that in this video, there is still a chance to include it in the third part of your series. By the way, I surely hope that will finally answer the question, as you promised to answer it in the second video. But i am very keen of your style of videos, can you make a longer series out of this, just keeping us up-to-date on this topic? I don’t like reading so many articles anymore, and it seems you enjoy making these videos.
Also, have you read the book 2052 from 2012?

@SchgurmTewehr

https://youtu.be/kVOTPAxrrP4

@CountEverything

2y↑4

Thanks.

I didn't know about the MIT prediction. Every time I make one of these videos I realise there's a whole lot more to be covered than I realised, so I decide to make another video to cover it. The next video will be a more practical one about what we can do to get people to realise how serious things are, but the video after that should finally get to what its like to be living in a civilisation that collapsing. It might take me some weeks to make it, because I don't yet know what its like, so I'll have to work it out.

@CountEverything

2y↑4

I will make more videos on the subject. I haven't read the book 2052, but its suspiciously close to my prediction of 2053.

@SchgurmTewehr

2y↑1

@@CountEverything i think your predictions are just good. But one year is important based on how you want to respond to a collapse. Try to survive? Say goodbye?

@SchgurmTewehr

@@CountEverything I can wait. Am just looking forward to your video :).

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@redrockcrf4663

2y↑7

A communication problem for scientists is that these are probabilistic models, and there is still year-to-year variation. E.g farming getting harder, there could still be good years where we successfully get crop yields, but there are also going to be years when all the bad events line up. As odds go from once in 100 years to less than 1 in 10 years, the chance of simultaneous bad outcomes becomes much more real, but that is hard for mos people to get.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Yes. It's difficult to predict anything. If I had made this video last year and warned that Ukraine was a risk to food supply, no one would have taken it seriously.

However, in the UK enough people realise that climate change is real that the people who were climate change deniers now argue against a zero carbon transition on the grounds of cost. I think this is what is stopping the worlds governments acting.

@chriskelly6574

2y↑11

When there is no food in the shops, no petrol at the filling station and no water in the taps people will begin to blame. Here, on my Island home, (Vancouver Island Canada), the government is leveling the forests. The wildlife is dyeing due to habitat loss as herbicides and pesticides are sprayed into the forest to protect corporate interests. People unapologetically consume, burn and drive. Here on this place, the only place in the cosmoses where we know there to be life and, without hesitation we tern the wonders of the known universe into cold, stale cash. Well done people, well done, everything evil and foul in the cosmos is impressed.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

I'm sorry to hear what is being done to the environment where you live. It sounds similar to things that are happening all over the world.

@chriskelly6574

@@CountEverything Copernican principle: if here then why not there as well.

@christinearmington

Vancouver Island should be left pristine and wild. Sorry to hear about such destruction to such magnificent land.

@chriskelly6574

@@christinearmington it is the way of things now. I expect all the wild places in the world are gated off and the resources divided amongst the captains of industry.

@craigcarmichael5748

It's not true! I moved from Van Isle to rural Haida Gwaii in 2017 and there's life here, too. (Okay, moving right along...)
I came here (from Victoria) to escape the strong potential for violence and destruction and mobs of desperate people when the groceries run dry. Presently growing about 150 feet of potato rows since they grow like weeds here and other than shooting deer would seem to be about the most simple and reliable potential food source. Not that I'm not keeping 4 chickens for eggs and growing various garden things and trying out a few grains - barley, kamut wheat, rye seem to do well. Just got some oats to try next year. (I even got good quinoa one year, but more often it's too damp.) I've put up 18 solar panels and have a few KW of battery storage to keep fridge and freezer going. EV ($ave$ plenty even now). Electric chain saw for firewood. An electric conversion kit for the lawn tractor but no time to do it so far. I should weather a long storm pretty well.
Of course if there's no ferry bringing food from the mainland it'll be rough -- but not as rough as most places owing to it being a rare place with more resources than people. (But it's a P.O. that no one anywhere is allowed to keep a dairy cow or two or a few. That's going to hurt everyone needlessly when the supply chain breaks down and we can't get milk trucked up from the lower mainland.)

2 More Replies...

@keyboardoracle1044

1y↑3

Temperature increase won’t be linear, it will be exponential as we hit tipping points.

@CountEverything

Yes, possibly.

@StephenWylie1522

2y↑16

Excellent video.
Terrifying content.
A third video to look forward to.
Thank you Count you seem like a genuinely decent man, I hope you sleep well tonight.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Thanks Stephen.

From your comment, I think you must have got all the way to the end. Well done for sticking with it for 40 minutes.

I do try to be decent, but fall of the wagon now and again.

@chriskelly6574

2y↑16

I think the thing to keep in mind is that for those rare places where intelligence arises, civilisation and culture is the flower produced by the vine. Like all flowers civilisation will come to its end; it is as natural a thing as life itself. If one were to ask my naive opinion, I would muse that death of a civilisation occurs when it no longer has the means or will to produce anything beautiful. When art and wisdom are exchanged for monetary goals, there is nothing there but competition and attrition; an artificial, made up analog of nature. There is nothing beautiful about an economy, it is forever hungary and we are all to be thrown to it. Perhaps our future is on a place like Mars with people like Elon. I don't know, I'm just thinking to myself as my fingers run the keyboard. Cheers mate, I truly appreciate what you are expressing.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Thanks Chris.

You have a beautiful way of seeing the world.

@Rnankn

2y↑12

I think thats naive. The greatest tragedy is the biodiversity loss that will arise because of the speed of change. It exceeds any historical analog meaning animals and plants evolved for an ice age will just start dying in significant numbers. Adaptation would take generations of mutation and evolution that are not going to be possible. This is the only known planet in the universe that has life, and any future potential for emergence of higher intelligence will be lost to mass extinction. Recovery of current complexity will take longer than is fathomable, and is not guaranteed to occur at all. We may be snuffing out the one moment the universe became aware of itself, through us. And we did it for quarterly earnings reports.

@kaliheera5441

2y↑1

@@Rnankn 💔

@nobody8328

@@Rnankn don't forget about all the life in deep caves and the ocean floors. There's multicellular life around thermal vents that get their energy from chemicals, not the sun like the rest of us. The coming and going of surface life is utterly irrelevant to them. They'll be fine.

Also keep in mind that life has adapted to even more drastic change that what we're doing. Meteor impacts and massive volcanic eruptions have decimated this planet many times in the past and killed some 90% of everything alive in one fell swoop. But here we are 🙂

Mind, I'm not saying that civilization will survive, or even humans. Tbqh, I'm not sure that wouldn't be for the best.

But take comfort in the fact that the planet can, and will be ok in the long run. Life will exist and continue to evolve and adapt. Hopefully whatever comes next will do a better job than we did.

@christinearmington

@@Rnankn Well said. 👍

1 More Replies...

@StephenWylie1522

2y↑1

Views still rising and 700 plus comments /conversations started.
I am proud of you and your efforts and hope you are healthy and happy today Count.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Hello Stephen.

Yes, plus 800 likes!

I'm nearly ready to record the next video. It's been such a long time since I posted one that the YouTube algorithm is only allocating me 100 views a day for the whole channel. So I need to post another one.

Thanks for your support.

@gehrigornelas6317

1y↑10

I'm a medical school student and after seeing a presentation I did for a climate club I founded here on the causes to and solutions to the climate crisis, one of the professors asked me to do a lecture in one of the curriculums for "the health impacts of the climate crisis". I want you to know that this video was instrumental in putting several parts of that presention together. Thank you for organizing this crucial information in such an efficient manner for those of us who then seek to pass it on.

@CountEverything

1y↑1

I am honoured that you found the video useful enough to use for a lecture to fellow students. Thank you for letting me know.

All of the information is available online for anyone with eyes to read, but so few people realise how serious things are.

@carinwiseman4309

2y↑4

By the time it is critical, which is now, the governments will start to act....which, of course, is and will continue to be far too late.

@CountEverything

Yes. Although I think most people won’t realise it’s critical until things are so serious that it impossible to act.

@carolisaac5459

2y↑24

Thank you. This is a service to us. You have been quite moderate on your presentation. It works best that way. It's the best that can be done. Very reasonable and simple enough presentation of conditions ... as reasonable a check of available science as it provides.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Carol.

@porkymor1

2y↑2

The biggest challenge is to face it, but not to drown in fear and anxiety at the same time and try to live in the now a bit.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Yes. Although I think at the moment the problem is getting people to accept the dangerous situation we are in. Very few people seem to be in danger of being too concerned.

@porkymor1

2y↑1

@@CountEverything That is also very true yes, the acceptance and the awareness has to come first

@sultanbev

2y↑6

19:45 one scientist calculated that Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) would require 38 million articulated lorry sized units world wide running 24/7 for 30 years just to stop CO2 emissions increasing. The amount of fossil fuels burned to make those machines would far outway any emissions captured, even if we had the mineral resources to make that many.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I forgot to say I in the video that while 10% of the gas in a chimney might be co2, the current 420ppm of co2 in the atmosphere is 0.00042%. Good luck coming up with a process to remove the Hugh amounts of co2 needed when it is such a weak concerntration.

@cedarmountain1525

Amen to that!

@susanfairman2051

1y↑3

I love this guy
He always says it like it is!
2053 - I'll be 100 yrs old, not looking forward to that!
I have been teaching about global warming/ climate change since the 1980s and I am sure geography, science and other teachers around the world have done the same, so by now there should be enough awareness to take action faster than we see.
Here's hoping that governments will actually pay attention now and take action, stop funding fossil fuel use and development, put that investment into alternatives for energy, transport and industry before it really is too late.
Since the 1990s I have set my students an essay on "future wars will be fought over water". Sadly the inertia between knowledge and action may truly be the end of our civilisation.

@CountEverything

Thanks Susan.

It's very strange that no government anywhere has done enough to tackle climate change in the last 30 years. They always seem to prioritise the immediate future.

I think a politician would need courage to act. Sadly, I can't see anyone in politics at the moment having that courage.

@anthonymorris5084

@davidprice3456

2y↑9

Outstanding. Well done. Thanks.

@CountEverything

Thanks David.

@MaxandTimmyBengal

2y↑2

That’s exactly what i’m thinking as well. How can people not freak out about this???

@CLYMA1.5CHAINZ

2y↑1

I am not gonna lie, i find your accent and voice very soothing. And, keep up the great work!

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Lupe.

@rogercoppock407

2y↑33

These 40 minutes of lecture are well worth listening to!
No, this lecturer is not being pessimistic or alarmist, he is just summarizing the best science currently available. Personally, I think this honesty is refreshing. There is a lot of magical thinking on climate change, even among climate activists, (or maybe especially among climate activists). The speaker does a quick and especially good debunking of the carbon capture scam, for example.

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Thanks Roger.

Before the debate was between climate deniers and the scientists now its between the doomers and the more positive people. Its a difficult thing for anyone to predict.

@brandy2378

People will hold onto hope p until the last second

@lentilreflection2676

1y↑2

Yes carbon capture does appear to be a total farce. It may be possible to capture some carbon efficiently, but I seriously doubt that any efficient carbon capture scheme can be scaled up to a level that has anything more than a trivial impact on the temperature.

@StephenWylie1522

2y↑5

Ah here it is!
Thank you Count

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Yes. Well done for picking it up withing the first 10 minutes.

It's quite long, it took for ages to do.

@erikolsen5802

2y↑4

Fantastic video, excellent channel!

@CountEverything

Thanks Erik.

@rogermartinez78

2y↑1

Thanks for putting together this video my friend, I have been thinking about this for years but I am glad you put my thoughts into this video! I think the coming collapse will be worst that we could ever imagine but it is coming if we don't change our ways!

@CountEverything

Thanks Roger.

Although things seem serious, I'm not quite ready to give up yet.

@rogermartinez78

@@CountEverything I am changing my ways for the next generation, I am turning 50 this weekend and I know I am not going to be here in 2100 but we don't have until then to change our ways!

@shelleycowden1738

1y↑5

This is really clear. A great summary, thank you. Most folks I know are averse to seeing things this way, as the emotional suffering of accepting this future is too overwhelming for them. I have never been able to look away from this issue. As a child of the 80's, the Kyoto Protocol was the great hope of my late teens....and nothing but empty promises since then. Have decided not to have children, largely because the impacts on human well-being feel so imminent. Such a devastating reality. If there is any hope at all, it's only that perhaps the awakened masses (snapped out of complacency by the coming droughts, fires, sea rise etc) might turn on the industries that have led us here (and not only on eachother). PhD in Yoga, Melbourne Greenie.

@CountEverything

Thanks Shelley.

When making these videos, it's easy to get caught up in the technical theory and not fully take on the human cost.

@freeheeler09

2y↑3

@freeheeler09

Also, Count, here in the US, we are looking at perhaps 50 million internal refugees, here at a time when our nation is in a cold civil war, and very close to hot war. We no longer can cooperate. So, chaos will reign here

@CountEverything

I'm sorry to hear you had to be evacuated and 50 families lost their homes. I'm starting to meet and receive comments from people who are already experiencing the affects of climate change.

Yes. The famines have started (in Africa) and it looks as though they will spread.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

It will be interesting how the states in the US and the countries in the EU respond when their fellow citizens need help.

@freeheeler09

@@CountEverything - Count, RE my famine comment, I hope I am wrong. There are good people, people willing to make a difference, everywhere. I hope we good people can start burning a calornie and getting off of our couches, and helping!

Also, I enjoy your posts.

@kathryncasey4114

This channel has the best comment section I have encountered. I think you are extremely optimistic but that's okay with me. I will subscribe to your channel for the great people who participate in your comment section.

@CountEverything

Thanks Kathryn.

@russtaylor2122

2y↑2

Have you considered population growth? The UN recently celebrated our reaching eight billion, then in the next breath tell us than two and a half billion are in dire poverty...??!!

@CountEverything

2y↑2

I did think about population growth, but decided not to cover it because -

1. China has had a one child per family policy for 40 years and only now has the population growth started to level off. If we waited 40 years, it really would be too late to tackle climate change.

2. The wealthiest 1% of people are responsible for twice CO2 (and I suppose consumption) as much as the poorest 50% of people in the world. When people say there are too many people, I think they mean too many poor people. The problem seems to me that we have too many wealthy people.

@TacSav253

2y↑3

In the grim darkness of the near future, there is only heat.

@CountEverything

heat plus famine, flood, war and pestilence.

@dinnerwithfranklin2451

2y↑5

Well my friend I think you are being quite optimistic myself. There are many who think we will survive just fine without any major changes or pain. Personally I think they are delusional but that is just me I think sometimes.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.

@thesaurus664

1y↑1

This is such an incredible summary, good work, going to spread this to others.

@CountEverything

Thanks. Well done for sharing it.

@Hello-1814

2y↑1

When is the next one coming!!!! Thx!!!

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Hello Hello.

I'm reading up on the next one now.

I make these videos, not because I'm an expert in the subject, but because I want to find out myself what is going to happen. I might be another month. Sorry.

@Hello-1814

@@CountEverything thx for the reply and all the hard work! Take ur time and you’ll get there when u do!

@henrikisberg4869

2y↑4

Thanks! Very logic and reasonable scenario. Hard to predict exactly, yes. But not pessimistic, rather realistic and balanced.

@CountEverything

Thanks Henrik.

@kingpest13

2y↑3

And yet there are still people who are spewing fossil fuel industry generated doubt.

@CountEverything

Yes. At one time what I was at XR protests people would shout there is no climate change. Now they shout it's too late. I can't help noticing the one thing both those arguments have in common is that they both involve carrying on the same.

@nix_0333

For some reason, I can't hear the audio in this video. Other videos audio is working.

@clintstinkeye5607

I can hear the audio but the video is scrambled.
Absolutely zero visual references.
I just want to know why this only happens with climate related videos.
Smells rotten to me.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I'm sorry you weren't able to hear the audio. When I've had trouble with YouTube in the past I've had to restart my computer to watch the videos properly. I've just watched the video online and both the picture and wound were good, so it might be worth trying again.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I'm sorry you had a bad picture. When I've had trouble with YouTube in the past I've had to restart my computer to watch the videos properly. I've just watched the video online and both the picture and wound were good, so it might be worth trying again.

@nix_0333

@@CountEverything Yes it worked after few hours. Thanks. 🙌🏻

@SenorAngelPolvo

2y↑2

London had forty degrees celsius this week. She said "in two decades." It's been two weeks.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

The climate emergency is always worse than you think.

I think the weather lady meant in 20 years time we would regularly have 40 degrees C in the UK. This would mean we would run out of water and energy in the cities, as the UN is predicting.

@donnabirnbaum6580

2y↑4

Thank You!!!!!

@CountEverything

Thanks Donna.

@jamesrichey

2y↑4

Thanks for posting this video. I've known about this for quite some time now. I've tried to discuss it with others but they just don't accept the possibility of civilization collapse within our lifetime. So, I just do what I can to learn how to grow food and water management. Each of us will have to turn to our local communities to support one another. If the entire ecological system collapses then we are screwed. The Earth will have its great reset shrugging off the dumb monkeys that were too stupid to harmonize with nature.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Thanks James.

It really affected my family when I was arrested for sitting in the road at an XR protest, . Now they realise how bad things are for me to do something like that. So there are ways to get through to people.

I reading up now on what it is like when a society collapses. Growing food and water management are important, but it seems that the powerful and wealthy do best in a collapse. Having a good connection to someone in that situation might be the best plan.

@Hello-1814

2y↑1

I need help! I can’t find anyone to talk to about the carbon equivalent of 508ppm and what it really means!!! If we’re at 508ce ppm, then is 2.7c locked in, and when!?!?!

Help!!!!

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I had a quick Google and couldn't find anything obvious.

I think 2 degrees C is locked in and 2.7C is likely by 2050 to 2070.

In the video a tried to explain what that would mean.

@Hello-1814

@@CountEverything thx!!!

@Antelopesinsideme

26w

But will we still have youtube...

@CountEverything

26w↑1

I hope not. If it was up to me, YouTube would have taken these videos down years ago.

@radman1136

2y↑4

It wouldn't matter what we did now. 8 years from now? It will matter less. Good luck, be well, your video is nicely done.

@CountEverything

Thanks RADman.

@mendyboio3917

2y↑4

Because of Methane from the permafrost and global dimming, the temperature will rise faster.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Yes.

@AlexandreLollini

2y↑2

if you compare Paris from the 1800s to 2020 : at that time all food was produced at 2 days walk distance from the user. Today if power is cut, there are only 2 days of food, if main market closes there is less than a week stock in stores. If you cut BOTH power and trucks : people cut each other throat by the end of the 5th day. Then you will say that Africa is much more civilised, at least they have machettes to do cleaner cuts. My view is that all is going down since 1970, at least then there was still some local agriculture still running and all soil was not yet killed by chemicals. And we had bare breasts on TV. And washing machines were able to work for 20 years (now 3).

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Our modern economy does put us at risk if our food supply is disrupted, but I’m not so sure civilisation would breakdown so quickly as people think. In 2012 260,000 people starved to death on Somalia and Somalia still carried on.

I’m going to make a video about what might happen when society runs out of food.

@AlexandreLollini

2y↑1

@@CountEverything I am trying regenerative agriculture, securing water source, making ready for worse droughts and forest fires. I am stopping desertification on the land patch around the house. (above Nice, France)

@garrettweiner7924

2y↑2

People sleep at night by denying facts and responsibility and some belief that someone else will save the day. Afterall we’ve never gone extinct before!

@CountEverything

Yes. It's a great problem. The risk of becoming extinct will have to be a separate video.

@richardravenclaw318

2y↑3

good presentation. all too true i fear. so far our plan is a) not to talk about the looming disaster and b) to pretend it isn't happening. i wonder how that is going to work out?

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Richard. It will certainly be interesting seeing what will happen in the next decades.

@artm8dk

2y↑5

United Nations reports are in fact a "little" consevative. It might be worser !

@CountEverything

Oh, good!?!

@itspeekaboo

Where did you come up with the decadal temperature graph ?

@CountEverything

Here is the link - https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-might-the-world-exceed-1-5c-and-2c-of-global-warming/

I think YouTube sometime removes external links. If the link is missing, try Googling the following text instead -

"Analysis: When might the world exceed 1.5C and 2C of global warming carbon brief"

@itspeekaboo

@@CountEverything
The problem is using this baseline from 1850,and as this link states from this period we have warmed some 1.3 C, which is also backed up with countless other published papers.
However, the factors that caused the (LIA) and although that timeline end was 1850 some factors were still likely in play, after that timeline.
Attributing all the warming from 1850 due to our co2e emissions is likely a misconception of course, in the scale of things we are likely talking about some + 0.2 C
'Tis the reason why the likes of NASA and many more agree our anthropogenic warming thus far is some +1.1 C
Regarding our current situation, it's not good to say the least, and along with our recent human impact over the last 5-6 decades to date which has been much more daunting than our current warming trend.
However, we are already seeing the impacts on a global scale with this current warming trend.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

There's nothing magical about the numbers 1.5 or 2. I think 2 degrees C of warming was an arbitrary number chosen by politicians, not scientists. Both numbers have weakened down by the way government interpret what they mean. We already have dangerous amounts of warming. e.g. the worlds ice sheets have passed the point of no return.

I think the later date was chosen because there is more weather available for those dates and NASA sometimes uses data from the 1980s for comparison with warming today because it allows them to use satellite data.

I agree that the last 50 years have been very destructive and sadly we seem likely to carry that pattern into the future.

@itspeekaboo

@@CountEverything
Agreed regarding magical numbers 1.5 or 2 C and yes thee Arctic region is no longer a sink but a source, some 4 decades before expected time. Regarding Antarctica, some 53% of its mass is below the water line, which is a huge factor.
We are already in overshoot regarding population growth and using resources that have taken hundreds, thousands, and millions of years to accumulate.
A further 2 or 3 C will be daunting and likely where we are headed, equilibrium at these further temperatures is uncertain.
The World Bank published papers of estimates of displaced people and numbers of food and water aid dependency by 2050 are daunting to say the least.
We are truly in a mess, there will be ongoing casualties.

@suolainenomena7631

2y↑2

Thank you

@bradleywinter2803

2y↑3

Hey count thanks 😊 man ya remind me of Phil Collins can't wait to see ya third 💚

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Thanks Bradley.

A fat Phil Collins maybe, although it's probably best I don't try to sing, I have very few viewers as it is.

@bradleywinter2803

@@CountEverything haha 😂 that's cute

@mikebocchinfuso9437

2y↑3

Unfortunately here they will not do anything it is too late

@CountEverything

Yes.

@ruairievans

But is it too late to make changes and make the world safer and more liveable?

@anthonymorris5084

1y↑1

The incessant climate mantra: "Just you wait, it's going to get bad, you'll see". Repeat decade after decade in perpetuity.

@SuperTonyony

2y↑1

"The more you overtake the plumbing, the easier it is to stop up the drain."
Montgomery Scott

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I don’t understand your comment, but I think I’d agree with it if I did.

@chris4973

2y↑8

I appreciate your efforts. No one gets things perfect (me particularly!), but I appreciate your efforts.

I am absolutely laughing off what ass I have left that you give such a specific date for the collapse. Takes balls, that… guess you’ve got a pair, predicting things not just down to a decade, not just the year, nor the month, nor the day, but the time of day! Wow!

That won’t garner for you any accolades, btw…

laughing to my inevitable grave…

@CountEverything

2y↑3

Thanks.

@Mike80528

1y↑3

If we stop all carbon output now, we're still heading toward a climate that will be harsh to near impossible for humanity. Factor in the tipping points already crossed and I doubt humanity is much of a factor by 2100, if there's even anyone left. We'll be desperately trying to keep islands of "nature" alive if we are...not a future I care to think of.

Sea level rise is a red herring meant to distract people from the deeper issues as it is a target further down the road. Notice more focus on that and less on 1.5c? That's because we are already practically at 1.5c when you compare to actual pre-industrial (modern) averages. It was also never a perfect value. It was always an estimate AND a red-line (of sorts).

@CountEverything

Thanks for such a long comment.

It will be interesting to see how it will all play out.

@old_toucs6283

Not true, there is no evidence of doomsday. The scatter of past proxies is huge. When the maths of that fact is included we simply have not got the data to make a call that 1.5C is unusual. There are plenty of historical records of warm or cold times, we just don't have thermometer readings from long ago.

@Mike80528

@@old_toucs6283 I have no idea what you are saying, but CO2 level of 400ppm is enough CO2 to induce forcing of over 3 degrees centigrade. The ONLY reason we aren't hotter is due to atmospheric shading from pollution and the cooling effect it causes. This is *well documented in science*, and the effect made clearer when COVID brought the global economy to a halt, and the skies cleared, temps spiked and geological methane releases jumped and never dropped back down.

Everything I have stated is from papers published by experts and easily validated for those who care.

That said, believe what you want because NOTHING you do will make a difference as shitty as that is.

@old_toucs6283

@Mike80528

@@old_toucs6283 "processing complicated data"

Not very well, obviously.

4 More Replies...

@YouTubeUserCx

31w

Awesome video mate! 😊 Very informative and it condenses a lot of info/data into one video less than an hour long. I'm somewhat Nihilistic, so I kinda welcome the collapse of the world because I think humans need a metaphorical slap across the face. Also, this video isn't pessimistic, it's just realistic with sprinkles of pessimism/cynicism and a little bit of optimism. I applaud you for having the stones to actually create such content. You've earnt a new subscriber. 😊

@CountEverything

31w

Thanks. Welcome to the channel.

@Proemed44G

I really enjoyed your video ! No one breaks it down like this...

@CountEverything

Thanks.

@janklaas6885

2y↑3

38:00 and many of them eat the dead, and many of them started canabalising. 😃

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Yes.. That will be something to look forward to, possibly around 2053.

@janklaas6885

2y↑3

@@CountEverything
hunger is a brutal feeling.

@chriskelly6574

2y↑6

I don't sleep at night. I have completely changed my lifestyle but, not nearly enough. In fact I have forsaken a 25 year career driving a lorry and am now sleeping on the floor attempting to make beautiful things on youtube. Well, attempting anyway. Still don't sleep; the forests death rattles keep me awake.

@CountEverything

I'm sorry to hear you're sleeping on the floor and can't sleep at nights.

I've just subscribed to your YouTube channel, watched one of your videos and gave it a like.

@chriskelly6574

2y↑3

@@CountEverything Thank you but, don't be sorry I sleep on the floor, as a buddhist I enjoy the firmness of it. The sleeping bit well, who can when we're burning a zillion,(estimat), liters of petrol a day. How much 'green house gasses' came from the Siberian traps, basalt event...thingy? How much diesel oil did we,( all of us on Earth), burn last month; I only went through eight thousand bucks worth...last month...and I'm very part time.When I was married and had horses I would drive all the time; around fifteen hundred kilograms of diesl a week...1500kg of fuel/week. Typical lorry hauling through the Rogers Pass and Mallahat. What penance can I do? So, I have started to wage art upon the land. What you are doing is important. If there is to be a history it is important.

@TheCosmosagan

Where is part 3?

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I'm working on it. I had some other things to do and I've also been on holiday.

I make these videos, not because I'm an expert, but because I want to know the answer. So it takes me a lot of reading and thinking to try and work it out.

I've got more or less the structure and info that I think should be in it, now I have to turn it into a talk that's interesting, not too long and not full of boring facts.

@ferrreira

13w

Hi there Count! I live in Brazil, in the capital city Brasília, which is right smack in the middle of South America. Being in the middle of the continent always makes things very dry, but it is definitely getting worse year by year. I moved here from a coastal city about 10 years ago. Here, the usual pattern used to be having a rainy season lasting from September to April, and a dry season when almost no rainfall occurs, from late April to early September, with cool / cold conditions in the winter (June and July, basically), mild temperatures in the summer (when it's raining) and some heat episodes when the dry season is about to end. Problem is, the dry season is getting longer and longer, and temperatures have been going up.

Last year the rainy season started almost 3 months late. It's water that we depend on for EVERYTHING. It used to start raining on a daily basis about September 10th, then it started in October, then November… last year we waited until December to start having decent rainfall and air humidity. The air here can get very dry when it doesn't rain for a few months, like less than 10%. I get sick every year. It's like a savannah here, and it's gonna turn into a desert. The reason we're not in a desert is because of the "sky rivers" of humidity coming from the Amazon. And we all know what's happening to the Amazon…

When the dry season reaches 4 months in duration, every piece of dry foliage starts to catch fire by itself. And by August, there's a LOT of it everywhere - grass, forests, parks, natural reserves. Wildfire season starts, fires happen near homes and roads, the air turns heavy with smoke and ash, and it gets hard to breathe. And every year it gets longer.

I love living here, the city is amazing, but I'm not sure if we're gonna be able to live here until I get old. I also fear for my folks living back home, by the seaside. They live only a few blocks from the beach.

@CountEverything

12w↑1

@reuireuiop0

2y↑3

Civil Disorder.

That's the keyword.

It's not seas slowly rising, melt of ice caps or Amazon breaking down, not even multi-year drought, fires or harvest failures,
it's how people will be reacting to those created mishaps, that's going to cause the largest disaster - world economy going to pieces, much quicker than anyone's guess, like a row of dominos.

This summer, minor constraints following COVID already caused riots on the world's airports. Imagine what large scale food & fuel shortages will do. Apocalyptic might be a minor byword.

@CountEverything

Yes. This is something I'm going to look at in a future video.

In some countries hundreds of thousands can die or become refugees from famine of floods and life seems to go on in the rest of the country just the same. I need to try and understand what it would be like to live in a society in the global north that was collapsing. In the global north there is a tradition of protest, political change and revolution.

As the stresses on societies increase, it's possible governments will become more authoritarian and we will lose our freedoms before we lose our lives.

@reuireuiop0

So far, without major tipping points triggered, I do doubt temp rise will roll out as steep as you project - with half the world pop gone by 2050.
Though indeed major efforts to remove carbon from the atmosphere are essential to keep temp in check (sorty of) with no project even in blueprint stages, with carbon remaining in the air, world temp likely will climb over 3' before 2100.

Also non climate factors are to take in account, like the enormous dependency of the global agriculture on fossil resources, either as fuel for working the fields, or source for fertilizer and pest control chemicals.
Plus, we can't effect the energy transition without stabile finance systems backing it up, and those will be very thoroughly tested by all political en economical insecurities and downturns, once climate change gets really serious - devastating harvests, floods, mass migration, tropical pests spreading to warming temperate zones etc etc. Lack of financial stability probably will topple the system, the question being, all at once, or slowly bumping downhill until crash. I still put that beyond 2060, though we might be in for a early surprise, unable to recover from what seemed "a minor crisis" at first.

( COVID just was a slightly serious flu at the start, remember? )

@thomasmazanec9704

43w

How has things turned out for the past year?

@CountEverything

42w

The first major predictions in the video start around 2030, but so far things seem to be worse than many people expected.

@Bangle9

2y↑2

Thank you for your presentations. Here in the US it’s zombieland of denial and diversion. Reminds me of the years leading up to the Fall of the Eastern Roman empire or the last days of Pompeii. Ive gone whole food plant based to at least withdraw all my spending from the factory farming industry and meat consumption thats driving so much of the destruction. I want to find out how you grow food in an unstable environment with limited water (hydroponics?). People continue on here as if nothing has changed—still building in places that will be flooded in a few short years and saying “not in my lifetime.” No one is openly talking about how so much of our limited water resources are going to be contaminated by the mobilization of landfills, old mines (mercury, uranium, plutonium, etc), nuclear waste dumps leaking into rivers and groundwater, forever chemicals, and so forth. The big picture is grim—what I can piece together of it. Thank you for displaying screenshots of your sources. I want to find a way where I can assist at least a handful of young people to survive the collapse.

@CountEverything

Thanks Bangle. Anything you can do to get people to realise how serious things are is worth doing.

This document explains why people don't take crises more seriously in general. Many of the things they list apply to climate change. e.g. its not affecting them personally (yet).
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://emergency.cdc.gov/cerc/ppt/CERC_Psychology_of_a_Crisis.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwig5M690b75AhX5QEEAHeiADCYQFnoECCkQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3-3tJzjTxhsodMPOOOsfcr

@rayn3038

45w

Paul Solomon channeled that it would get so bad that the Air would be almost unbreathable and Food would have to be grown indoors. Pure Water hard to find and a huge Population reduction. Not Decades . The Planet wants to Detox and super Volcanic eruptions will get the Ball Rolling. People are Idiots. There is a Boom Economy but it is just a greedy Money Grab. More high wages paid and conspicuous Consumption and over use of Vehicles…waste…Junk Food addiction…lack of Spirituality and the Worship of BAAL the ancient God of materialism and SelfIndulgence. Gluttony is the Boom Economy . At a Time when we should be using less…eating less…traveling less…taking less from Earth.

@jacknastyface5623

2y↑1

Thankyou for not dramatizing this for the sake of it, but rather letting the information speak for itself. Your presentation is very clear and feels very open and conversational. Nevertheless, it appears we can expect a 'four horseman of the apocalypse' type future as recorded in the book of Revelation with its 'biblical scale' age ending catastrophes to match. (I think I'll start reading my bible again!)

@CountEverything

Thanks Brian.

Things certainly look very serious, but I'm not quite ready to give up yet.

@edwardmiessner6502

Unfortunately here in the United Statex the Christians (at least the politically "conservative" ones) have learned and are learning the wrong lessons!

@jacknastyface5623

2y↑2

@@CountEverythingThanks, I'm with you on that. My main concern is that because human nature, with all it's variants is driving this, we are too often focused on or distracted by other things, leaving our response to a very last minute, 'knee-jerk' set of actions. It seems increasingly likely that our very best options will continue to be allowed to drift downstream out of reach, though not out of sight, regret and intensely angry recriminations!

@SkepticalTeacher

2y↑1

As a 40 year old, I thought that what's happening now would be happening when I approach retirement age, but it's already started during the past 5 years. On the other hand: it's interesting to be alive at a historically interesting time, the collapse of a civilisation, and have it suddenly dawn on me why exactly the same thing happened with the Romans etc, and the same kind of resignation ordinary people must have felt, knowing their leaders would do nothing. And why civilisations just die in a few decades.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I still have hope something can be done.

I've got on my list of videos to make, one on the case for being positive. There are a couple of climate scientists who criticise people for being pessimistic.

Maybe if I make a video based on their point of view, I'll be able to find reasons to be positive.

Although for people in Pakistan, Bangladesh and parts of Africa, the climate apocalypse has already arrived.

@thedivinemissm7795

The pessimistic vantage point:
I remember in 1984, scientists warned us that we barely have 40 years to embrace the immediacy of change before there would be looming disasters...so what did we do?
We talked some and back-burnered it and trotted it out somemore for more empty talk.
Meanwhile the collective governments were busy digging / equiping survival tunnels for those in power...could that really be any clearer what the intend for the rest of us?

@SpeedingCanister

Keep getting the message out your videos are very helpful!

@CountEverything

1y↑1

Thanks SpeedingBox. The videos take a lot of work, but I will try to keep going.

@myplan8166

2y↑1

That irritating moment all over the globe, when business as usual won't be able any longer... .
When even it doesn't make sense that your second car is an electric one, too.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Yes. A new prime minister is being chosen in the UK and everyone, including the BBC, wants to know what they will do to increase growth. No one seems to know that the UN climate people think that we can no longer have growth if we are to have a survivable future.

@carlrosenstock8413

Thank you.
Spot on!

@CountEverything

Thanks Carl.

@cedarmountain1525

I think we sleep at night by realizing, and accepting, where we are and how we got here. And thanks to you, Count Everything, we know more about that now. Perhaps that is the most difficult thing to do; but once we get to that point we can do whatever is available to us to do, because it is the right thing to do, not because it will be able to stop what is happening. Maybe what we can do is small - plant a garden, a tree, paint a rooftop white - but we do it with the intention of doing what is right for the common good. Somewhere in the cosmos, at some point in time, present or future, this makes a difference. It may not be a difference that is seen with the naked eye, but it is palpable.

@CountEverything

2y↑2

Thanks cedar.

Doing what we think is right is all that we can do, and it will help us sleep.

@johnnelson2382

2y↑2

On the money how uncanny the weather presenter stated that the UK could reach a temperature of 40 degrees celsius within 20 years it reached 40.3 last week.The collapse is happening now.

@CountEverything

Thanks John.

I think the weather lady meant a whole series of 40 degrees C days for us to run out of water, food and energy. However I remember climate scientists discussing when the UK would have such temperatures a few weeks before on Twitter and they would have been surprised how soon I happened.

@bgiv2010

2y↑2

"How do people sleep at night knowing this will happen?"
Usually some kind of medication. Whether it be a bed of money or earnest prayer, those with the ability to cope do just that.

@juliebarks3195

2y↑2

We eat, drink, and are merry for tomorrow we die.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

There is another way and it will feature in the next video.

@bgiv2010

@@CountEverything oh I'm also learning how to grow food with regenerative practices and become carbon negative at the small scale.

@Rnankn

2y↑3

@@juliebarks3195 It sounds like tomorrow you suffer, become malnourished, lose your home and face famine while witnessing the destruction of everything that matters bit by bit, day by day. Just because the world ends doesn’t mean you won’t die of old age in some ditch alone bitter and angry.

@JonathanLoganPDX

2y↑2

The UK weather forecaster says in the UK we could see 40° C in the next 20 years. She's wrong because we've already seen it this month. What people don't understand is that everything is going to get worse faster than anticipated and predicted because as Dr Peter Carter will tell you, most of the accelerating factors and feedback loops have been left out of ipcc prediction models. This is what right now we are at our last and final chance to do everything humanly possible with all of our efforts intelligence and resources to turn this around before we reach tipping points that Dr Carter says we will not be able to return from. Those tipping points will put us into a hot house earth that will almost certainly lead to most of humanity suffering and dying and only a few Millions left in the poles.

@CountEverything

Hello Jonathan. Thanks for your comment.

I've had a lot comments about the IPCC reports, feedback loops and the accelerating rate of climate change. I'm think about making a video about it, but I'd need to find a reliable source to base it on. The IPCC reports are so long and I don't have the ability to understand what has been included an what has been left out.

@Rnankn

2y↑2

The question is what to do in the meantime.

@CountEverything

2y↑1

The next video will have a suggestion about what to do now.

@shockwave9100

2y↑2

at 2:42, that aged like fine wine hahaha, UK is already gonna reach temperatures upwards of 42C, it's going to be crazy

@CountEverything

@oldgeezer8038

39w↑1

Over and over we've heard projections of by 2100. In my opinion we'll be lucky to even make it to 2050. We've been on a gradual decline of habitat that is gaining speed. At some point it becomes exponentially fast.....

@CountEverything

36w

None of this is certain. The sooner we get to net zero, the more hope there is of a survivable future.

@oldgeezer8038

36w

@@CountEverything thanks for the reply. However, we'll never get to net zero

@johnsweazy358

42w↑1

It is hard to end a tragedy on a high note!

@CountEverything

42w

Yes.

@StressRUs

2y↑1

An excellent and accurate presentation on youtube, where it is a rare recent addition, as most are many years are out of date. Madeline Weld did a great job for CACOR and PIC in Canada 3 weeks ago as well. My perspective, as a retired physician with 42 yrs. of clinical medical experience, is laid out in my FREE online e-book, "Stress R Us", that lays out extensive evidence for the apocalyptic health consequences of human overpopulation, overconsumption, and environmental collapse. My central question is this: is this really the dying world you want to bring another innocent child into to join his/her 206,000 fellows being born just today? Stress R Us

@CountEverything

2y↑1

Thanks Greeley.

And well done for plugging your book.

@preppertrucker5736

2y↑2

It’s the domino effect….. It’s not being pessimistic it’s being realistic which people are not akin to…..

@CountEverything

Thanks Prepper Truck.

@timothyhume3741

Thank you for your work, well done. I do however think your estimates are rather on the low side. I believe the temperature will rise much higher and very much faster than your estimates. We are already in the beginning stages of the collapse. It is happening here in Canada. Cheers and blessings.

@CountEverything

52w

Thanks Timothy.

I try to stick to the official climate reports, which means there's a delay between the observations the scientists make and it becoming publicly accepted.

It will be interesting to see how temperatures increase in the near future. I'm working on a video now that includes includes the effect of burning less fossil fuel, leading to fewer aerosols that currently block the suns heat, which lead to further warming.

@ricksmall5240

2y↑2

Zero baseline is 1750, iceage minimum, when the steam engine was discovered
The average global temperature has risen 1.5c above iceage minimum

@CountEverything

2y↑1

I think they choose a later date than 1750 to a period when the weather reporting was better.

In some ways it doesn't matter, because the targets of keening global warming to are chosen by politicians, not by scientists. I think the original 2 degrees C of warming target was chosen by Angel Merkel and was used for a long time without any scientific basis for choosing it. Paris 2015 used 1.5 degrees C for the first time, but again it was a political rather than a scientific one.

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